Monday, May 21, 2007

This One's for the Common Log-an

If the Logan's initial (tepid) sales figures are any indication, Mahindra Renault might have misread the magnificently peculiar Indian car market with their super-sedan.

The Logan's raging success in other developing markets might have caused Mahindra Renault to believe that an identical strategy would hit jackpot in India as well. Alas, ET reports quite the contrary.

My take is that the Logan's challenges are three-fold:

First, in the markets where the Logan has been hugely successful, it has been positioned at an out-an-out budget sedan. In India, however, we define 'Budget' price-points very differently. Anything in excess of Rs 5 lac does not qualify for that classification. Between Rs 4.75 lac and Rs 6.44 lac, the Logan, then, is the budget sedan at a non-budget price. (Sure, there is the base-model 1.4 petrol that goes for Rs 4.28 lac, but its got no power steering - we can comfortably rule that out of most people's consideration set.) India's pecularity, then, erodes the Logan's only real USP - price.

What is worse, is that it is a very obvious low-cost vehicle. Of more significance is the fact that the styling of the car has taken a massive hit in an effort to cut costs. So all the door handles are identical, the car is boxy-shaped and defined by straight lines, the windshields have no curvature to cut costs further. Indians don't seem to like that kind of obvious, in-your-face cost-cutting. Especially not the sedan buyer. The three-box is a thing of some prestige here. Correspondingly, a sedan-buyer expects some jazz. Maybe not spectacular bling, but surely not heartless 'frugal engineering' either.

Second, the competition. I'm sure Mahindra Renault would have had a keen eye on a very formidable opponent - the Tata Indigo. The Indigo is a good-looking (well, against the Logan…), economical, comfortable piece of machinery. Sure, there are quality issues and the panel gaps are sometimes embarrassing. But at the end of the day, it's still not an 'obviously cheap' three-box. And yet, is fairly cheap. The Indigo shares a lot of components with the Indica and the Marina, and that only pulls down the cost of manufacturing a new car a wee bit further. Inherently, Tata Motors is extremely price-competitive, and this only adds to their strength. Numbers say that the top-of-the-line Indigo costs Rs 5.44 lac (Rs 5.96 lac for the DICOR). The bottomline is that the Logan looks like a cheap sedan that is not so cheap, and the Indigo looks like a not-so-cheap sedan that's fairly cheap. It's a little bit like potato cheaps and banana cheaps, but never mind…

Lastly, the Logan's biggest battles, however, are with itself ("The greatest battles lie within!"). Even before the Logan was launched, there were many tales about its spectacular success flying around. It was a fairly well known (even powerful) brand in India even before the first car rolled off the assembly line. However, the powerful brand associations had to do with 'budget', 'stripped-out', 'basics' and 'bare bones'. All that has stuck on - in fact, it has only strengthened further after the press exposure the car has received in the recent past. Unfortunately, all those adjectives don't go very well with a price tag in the high-five, low-six lac range.

Mahindra Renault is trying hard to shake that tag off. That possibly explains the Logan's strange positioning - it is now 'India's first wide-bodied sedan'. I'm not sure if anyone wants a wide-bodied sedan, really.

It is, perhaps, too early to write the car off and crucify Renault Mahindra. Sholay started off slowly too, for starters.

The Logan might just end up discovering something about itself that it never knew existed. India does that to people… :)

Wednesday, May 02, 2007

Limitless Limited Editions

Yes, it is a competitive market, margins are thin, customers are hard to come by, a few players dominate ruthlessly and all that jazz. But what exactly tells GM that 'Limited Editions' are the way to go?

GM and Ford are the manufacturers most guilty of churning out unlimited limited editions for their (perhaps slow-moving) models. At various points during its lifecycle, I recollect having seen the Optra in its various avatars - Royale, Elite, Max, Platinum. At one point of time, if my memory does not fail me, there were two limited edition Optras on sale at the same time :)

Ford is equally guilty of burdening customers with an endless array of 'Anniversary Editions'. The story goes back to the good ole days of the Ford Escort. I was still a teenager in shorts and an 'Anniversary Edition' with plasticky wood on the dash instead of cheap plastic baffled me even then. More so now. Fresh in my mind is the thoroughly tacky job that they did with the Fiesta 1.6 - the go-faster 'Le Mans Stripes' across the length of the car, et al. Ha-ah!

The charm (and efficacy) of a 'Limited Edition' (lets just call them LEs for convenience sake) is derived directly out of its exclusivity and desirability. In that case, LEs must ideally be born out of events of some significance, rather than at the whims of over-worked (and overtly desperate) marketing professional. Obviously, a little too much is a little too bad. Which means that a little more thought must go into designing an LE.

Ford and GM are (for now, at least) making it look like a simple job. Slap a commemorative (commemorating the first anniversary of the CEO's wife, for instance) plate and add a dash of jazz (tacky will do just as well, thank you). That's 'Slapdash', just in case.

I wonder why Honda is not doing LE Accords with cream leather instead of black and shiny alloy wheels instead of the factory-equipped ones. Perhaps because they sell enough units without resorting to these tactics?

So why does GM launch an LE Optra every month? Perhaps because it can't sell enough Optras otherwise? Essentially then, GM is trying to be pushy with a product that is not as good as its competition.

Most of those men who are spending Rs 8 lac on a brand new car are smarter than you and I would like to believe, Mr General Sir. Get that fact stamped in your mind, and we'd be doing far bigger numbers without changing the colour of the trim from 'Ebony Black' to 'Mahogany Brown'.

Friday, January 05, 2007

Mid-sizers slow down

Mid-life Crisis


India
is a big hatchback market. But India has never been a ‘big’ hatchback market. Big hatchbacks that mustered up enough courage to tread into territory dominated by three-boxes have never had it easy. The Getz, for instance, has found the going extremely tough because it is priced very close to the Ford Ikon and the Hyundai Accent. Because no one buys a ‘small’ car for more than five lac rupees when one can buy a ‘big’ car with a ‘big’ boot.

Big boots, of course, translate into ‘prestige’, ‘position’ and ‘oh-he’s-got-somewhere-in-life’ (I wear size 13 boots, but it does not seem to help). Anyway, big hatchbacks translate into ‘oh-look-the-fool-went-and-bought-a-small-car-for-six-lac-rupees’.

A recent story in the Economic Times, however, points out that the mid-size segment is bearing the brunt of changing consumer preferences.

In this new segment are the likes of Swift and Getz, plus the relaunched versions of Indica, Wagon R Duo, Alto and the new Zen Estillo. These are now serious alternatives for buyers of the A3, or mid-size cars who appear to find greater value in the top-end compact cars than the bottom-end mid-size cars like Indigo, Esteem and Accent.

Well yes, the mid-size segment has moved slower than both the A+ and the C- (if I may) segment this year. But I’d rather attribute it to two major reasons, rather than shifting buyer preferences.

One, one segment either side of the mid-size segment has witnessed a flurry of activity in the past year, while the mid-size segment models struggle with technology and styling a generation old. There are fully-loaded variants of contemporary hatches like the Swift and the Getz priced very close to the entry-level mid-size segment. And there are stripped-out, bare-basic variants of the Fiesta and the Aveo waiting to nibble into the Accent’s and Esteem’s market.

Two, last year’s budget was kind to small cars (hatchbacks, for all practical purposes). Import duties slashed on small cars meant that there was a mild rush amongst manufacturers to hatch their hatchback plans earlier than they had initially planned. Mid-sizers seem to be the ones to bear the brunt. The segment is on auto-pilot; it has seen almost no activity in the last year or so. The Esteem, Accent, Indigo and Ikon dog along. To live one more day.

Will things change? It depends on what the FM does this year in the budget, really. If the differential duty regime in favour of small cars is abolished, we’ll see a dash of contemporariness added to the mid-size segment, and us Indians will be back to our old love affair with cars with boots.